Rafael Nadal vs Jordan Thompson Prediction, Head-to-Head, Odds & Pick - Matchstat.com
By Wojtek Kolan
At Matchstat.com we give you unbeatable in-depth analysis of past and current event tennis stats, to give you accurate tennis predictions, picks, odds and value bets. Let's dive in with our Nadal vs Thompson analysis and find out who is favored!
Rafael Nadal vs Jordan Thompson Important H2H Prediction Stats:
Head-to-head: Nadal 2 - 1 Thompson
- Second serve performance recent form: In recent form (last 6 months), Nadal has won 53.08% of points on their second serve, while Thompson has won 54.01%. There is a high correlation between this stat and match prediction accuracy.
- Return game stats recent form: Return stats show Nadal, in recent form, has won 53.23% of their opponent's second serve points, while Thompson has won 46.74%. The same stats for first serve returns are 31.06% and 30.34% respectively and this has a high correlation to pick who is favored in this H2H matchup.
- Under pressure analysis: Nadal has saved 58.21% of breakpoints in recent form, whereas Thompson has saved 69.75% which is a useful statistic for in-game betting predictions.
- Performance overview: Over the last year Nadal has won 58.33% of matches played (W/L 7/ 5), with Thompson winning 56.06% (W/L 37/ 29) that gives us an overall head-to head prediction overview.
- Best surface: Nadal has their best career surface win % on Clay, winning 90% (W/L 506/ 57), and worse career win % on I.hard, winning 68% (W/L 82/ 38). Thompson has their best career surface win % on I.hard, winning 66% (W/L 38/ 20), and worse career win % on Clay, winning 57% (W/L 86/ 64).
- Player level: In the last year, Nadal has played most of their matches on the Masters series, winning 66.67% of matches (W/L 4/ 2), where as Thompson has played most of their matches on the Main tour, winning 65.12% of matches (W/L 28/ 15). When comparing stats between players to predict the favorite, it is of course all relative to the event level they have been playing at.
- Direct H2H matches: They have played 3 times before with Nadal winning 2 times and Thompson being victorious 1 times. They have played 8 sets in total, with Nadal winning 6 and Thompson winning 2. The last match between Nadal and Thompson was at the Brisbane International - Brisbane, 05-01-2024, Quarterfinals, Hard with Jordan Thompson getting the victory 5-7 7-6(6) 6-3.
- Head to head match duration: In past head to head matches, the average match time between these players has been 2:20:27.
- Deciding set H2H prediction: Nadal and Thompson have played a deciding set 1 times, with Nadal winning 0 times and Thompson 1 times. Very useful for predicting the outcome if this match goes the distance.
- Head-to-Head extreme pressure situations: They have played 2 tiebreaks against each other with Nadal winning 1, and Thompson 1.
- Opponent quality stats: Over the last 12 months, Nadal has played against opponents with an average rank of 95.92 while Thompson has played against players with an average rank of 160.64.
- Deciding set performance vs all players: If you are interested in live predictions and betting, if this match goes into a deciding set, Nadal has won 67% of deciding sets over the last 12 months, while Thompson has won 43% in all matches played on tour.
- Break point conversion: In recent form, Nadal has converted 40.66% of breakpoint opportunities, and Thompson has converted 34.17% of their chances to break their opponents serve. A telling stat for in-game live betting tips when either player has a breakpoint opportunity.
94
Total
36
Mast
2
Chall
22
Slam
33
Main
0
Minor
275
Rank
1
High
37
Age
L
Plays
2
Total1
0
Hard1
1
Clay0
1
Indoor0
0
Grass0
36
Rank
32
High
30
Age
R
Plays
17
Total
0
Mast
11
Chall
0
Slam
1
Main
5
Minor
Form
82% (1119-241)
Career Total W/L
60% (444-297)
58% (7-5)
YTD W/L
55% (16-13)
$96,533,810
Career Prize Money
$2,870,555
0
YTD Titles
1
Currently displayed stats includes matches of all levels. To exclude lower level events (as per ATP / WTA official stats) toggle button in page footer.
stats | Rafael Nadal | Jordan Thompson |
---|---|---|
All H2H Matches | 2 | 1 |
Sets Won | 6 | 2 |
Games Won | 47 | 31 |
Aces (Total) | 11 | 20 |
DFs (Total) | 5 | 4 |
Avg Match Time | 2:20:27 | 2:20:27 |
1st Serve % | 68% (156/230) | 63% (155/245) |
1st Serve Win% | 76% (119/156) | 67% (104/155) |
2nd Serve Win% | 62% (46/74) | 43% (39/90) |
BPs Won% (Total) | 48% (11/23) | 50% (3/6) |
Return Points W% | 42% (102/245) | 28% (65/230) |
Best of 3 Sets W% | 50% (1/2) | 50% (1/2) |
Best of 5 Sets W% | 100% (1/1) | 0% (0/1) |
TBs Win% (Total) | 50% (1/2) | 50% (1/2) |
Deciding Set Win% | 0% (0/1) | 100% (1/1) |
1st set W, W | 67% (3/2) | 0% (0/0) |
1st set W, L | 33% (3/1) | 0% (0/0) |
1st set L, W | 0% (0/0) | 33% (3/1) |
Winning Player | Losing Player | Score | |||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
5-7 7-6(6) 6-3 |
Jordan Thompson
Player
Rafael Nadal
61%
(
67 of
109)
1st Serve %
73%
(
79 of
108)
8
Aces
7
3
Double Faults
2
76%
(
51 of
67)
1st Serve Won
73%
(
58 of
79)
48%
(
20 of
42)
2nd Serve Won
45%
(
13 of
29)
67%
(
2 of
3)
Break Points Won
25%
(
2 of
8)
35%
(
38 of
109)
Rtn Points Won
34%
(
37 of
108)
108
Total Points Won
109
|
||||
6-2 6-2 6-2 |
Rafael Nadal
Player
Jordan Thompson
65%
(
41 of
63)
1st Serve %
61%
(
49 of
80)
1
Aces
5
0
Double Faults
1
73%
(
30 of
41)
1st Serve Won
49%
(
24 of
49)
77%
(
17 of
22)
2nd Serve Won
42%
(
13 of
31)
64%
(
7 of
11)
Break Points Won
50%
(
1 of
2)
25%
(
16 of
63)
Rtn Points Won
54%
(
43 of
80)
90
Total Points Won
53
|
||||
6-1 7-6(3) |
Rafael Nadal
Player
Jordan Thompson
61%
(
36 of
59)
1st Serve %
70%
(
39 of
56)
3
Aces
7
3
Double Faults
0
86%
(
31 of
36)
1st Serve Won
74%
(
29 of
39)
70%
(
16 of
23)
2nd Serve Won
35%
(
6 of
17)
50%
(
2 of
4)
Break Points Won
0%
(
0 of
1)
20%
(
12 of
59)
Rtn Points Won
38%
(
21 of
56)
68
Total Points Won
47
|
Stats Breakdown Vs All H2H Opponents
stats | Rafael Nadal | Jordan Thompson |
---|---|---|
YTD W/L | 58% (7/5) | 55% (16/13) |
Sets Win/Loss | 54% (15/13) | 52% (38/35) |
Games Win/Loss | 54% (143/123) | 49% (354/362) |
Hard Win/Loss | 67% (2/1) | 61% (11/7) |
Clay Win/Loss | 56% (5/4) | 38% (3/5) |
Indoor Hard W/L | 0% (0/0) | 67% (2/1) |
Grass Win/Loss | 0% (0/0) | 0% (0/0) |
Aces pg | 0.19 | 0.47 |
Aces Total | 24 | 166 |
DFs per game | 0.17 | 0.09 |
DFs Total | 22 | 33 |
Avg Match Time | 2:6:53 | 2:13:2 |
Avg Opp Rank | 95.92 | 151.21 |
1st Serve % | 69% (568/828) | 60% (1378/2289) |
1st Serve W% | 68% (387/568) | 70% (968/1378) |
2nd Serve W% | 53% (138/260) | 54% (492/911) |
BPs Won% Total | 41% (37/91) | 34% (68/199) |
Return Pts W% | 39% (329/838) | 36% (845/2320) |
Slam W/L | 0% (0/1) | 33% (1/2) |
Masters W/L | 67% (4/2) | 0% (0/4) |
Cups W/L | 0% (0/0) | 0% (0/0) |
Main Tour W/L | 60% (3/2) | 68% (15/7) |
Tour Finals W/L | 0% (0/0) | 0% (0/0) |
Challenger W/L | 0% (0/0) | 0% (0/0) |
Futures W/L | 0% (0/0) | 0% (0/0) |
Best of 3 Sets W% | 64% (7/11) | 58% (15/26) |
Best of 5 Sets W% | 0% (0/1) | 33% (1/3) |
TBs Win% (Total) | 25% (1/4) | 77% (10/13) |
Deciding Set W% | 67% (2/3) | 60% (6/10) |
1st set W, W | 86% (7/6) | 75% (16/12) |
1st set W, L | 14% (7/1) | 25% (16/4) |
1st set L, W | 20% (5/1) | 31% (13/4) |
Rafael Nadal Recent Matches Played
opponent | Score | H2H | |||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
R1 |
Alexander Zverev
Player
Rafael Nadal
77%
(
72 of
93)
1st Serve %
70%
(
78 of
111)
8
Aces
2
3
Double Faults
3
72%
(
52 of
72)
1st Serve Won
58%
(
45 of
78)
48%
(
10 of
21)
2nd Serve Won
48%
(
16 of
33)
33%
(
6 of
18)
Break Points Won
18%
(
2 of
11)
33%
(
31 of
93)
Rtn Points Won
45%
(
50 of
111)
112
Total Points Won
92
|
6-3 7-6(5) 6-3 | H2H | ||
R2 |
Hubert Hurkacz
Player
Rafael Nadal
54%
(
30 of
56)
1st Serve %
72%
(
38 of
53)
9
Aces
1
1
Double Faults
1
83%
(
25 of
30)
1st Serve Won
53%
(
20 of
38)
62%
(
16 of
26)
2nd Serve Won
53%
(
8 of
15)
57%
(
4 of
7)
Break Points Won
0%
(
0 of
7)
27%
(
15 of
56)
Rtn Points Won
47%
(
25 of
53)
66
Total Points Won
43
|
6-1 6-3 | H2H | ||
R1 |
Rafael Nadal
Player
Zizou Bergs
62%
(
58 of
93)
1st Serve %
56%
(
44 of
78)
3
Aces
7
4
Double Faults
4
67%
(
39 of
58)
1st Serve Won
68%
(
30 of
44)
63%
(
22 of
35)
2nd Serve Won
62%
(
21 of
34)
43%
(
3 of
7)
Break Points Won
22%
(
2 of
9)
34%
(
32 of
93)
Rtn Points Won
35%
(
27 of
78)
88
Total Points Won
83
|
4-6 6-3 6-4 | H2H | ||
R4 |
Jiri Lehecka
Player
Rafael Nadal
71%
(
46 of
65)
1st Serve %
61%
(
44 of
72)
7
Aces
2
1
Double Faults
2
89%
(
41 of
46)
1st Serve Won
68%
(
30 of
44)
37%
(
7 of
19)
2nd Serve Won
50%
(
14 of
28)
40%
(
2 of
5)
Break Points Won
0%
(
0 of
1)
26%
(
17 of
65)
Rtn Points Won
39%
(
28 of
72)
76
Total Points Won
61
|
7-5 6-4 | H2H | ||
R3 |
Rafael Nadal
Player
Pedro Cachin
78%
(
59 of
76)
1st Serve %
61%
(
74 of
122)
0
Aces
3
0
Double Faults
3
64%
(
38 of
59)
1st Serve Won
53%
(
39 of
74)
35%
(
6 of
17)
2nd Serve Won
38%
(
18 of
48)
50%
(
9 of
18)
Break Points Won
67%
(
4 of
6)
42%
(
32 of
76)
Rtn Points Won
53%
(
65 of
122)
109
Total Points Won
89
|
6-1 6-7(5) 6-3 | H2H | ||
R2 |
Rafael Nadal
Player
Alex De Minaur
73%
(
45 of
62)
1st Serve %
66%
(
44 of
67)
0
Aces
2
2
Double Faults
3
71%
(
32 of
45)
1st Serve Won
66%
(
29 of
44)
53%
(
9 of
17)
2nd Serve Won
52%
(
12 of
23)
80%
(
4 of
5)
Break Points Won
50%
(
2 of
4)
34%
(
21 of
62)
Rtn Points Won
39%
(
26 of
67)
67
Total Points Won
62
|
7-6(6) 6-3 | H2H | ||
R1 |
Rafael Nadal
Player
Darwin Blanch
62%
(
24 of
39)
1st Serve %
69%
(
27 of
39)
2
Aces
2
0
Double Faults
2
79%
(
19 of
24)
1st Serve Won
52%
(
14 of
27)
73%
(
11 of
15)
2nd Serve Won
17%
(
2 of
12)
56%
(
5 of
9)
Break Points Won
0%
(
0 of
0)
23%
(
9 of
39)
Rtn Points Won
59%
(
23 of
39)
53
Total Points Won
25
|
6-1 6-0 | H2H | ||
R2 |
Alex De Minaur
Player
Rafael Nadal
52%
(
28 of
54)
1st Serve %
68%
(
50 of
73)
2
Aces
0
3
Double Faults
1
75%
(
21 of
28)
1st Serve Won
58%
(
29 of
50)
65%
(
17 of
26)
2nd Serve Won
35%
(
8 of
23)
56%
(
5 of
9)
Break Points Won
33%
(
1 of
3)
30%
(
16 of
54)
Rtn Points Won
49%
(
36 of
73)
74
Total Points Won
53
|
7-5 6-1 | H2H | ||
R1 |
Rafael Nadal
Player
Flavio Cobolli
65%
(
32 of
49)
1st Serve %
49%
(
27 of
55)
0
Aces
3
3
Double Faults
3
78%
(
25 of
32)
1st Serve Won
70%
(
19 of
27)
53%
(
9 of
17)
2nd Serve Won
36%
(
10 of
28)
40%
(
4 of
10)
Break Points Won
50%
(
1 of
2)
31%
(
15 of
49)
Rtn Points Won
47%
(
26 of
55)
60
Total Points Won
44
|
6-2 6-3 | H2H | ||
QF |
Jordan Thompson
Player
Rafael Nadal
61%
(
67 of
109)
1st Serve %
73%
(
79 of
108)
8
Aces
7
3
Double Faults
2
76%
(
51 of
67)
1st Serve Won
73%
(
58 of
79)
48%
(
20 of
42)
2nd Serve Won
45%
(
13 of
29)
67%
(
2 of
3)
Break Points Won
25%
(
2 of
8)
35%
(
38 of
109)
Rtn Points Won
34%
(
37 of
108)
108
Total Points Won
109
|
5-7 7-6(6) 6-3 | H2H |
view more
Jordan Thompson Recent Matches Played
opponent | Score | H2H | |||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
R1 |
Maximilian Marterer
Player
Jordan Thompson
60%
(
40 of
67)
1st Serve %
59%
(
54 of
91)
4
Aces
5
3
Double Faults
4
70%
(
28 of
40)
1st Serve Won
48%
(
26 of
54)
70%
(
19 of
27)
2nd Serve Won
43%
(
16 of
37)
35%
(
7 of
20)
Break Points Won
33%
(
1 of
3)
30%
(
20 of
67)
Rtn Points Won
54%
(
49 of
91)
96
Total Points Won
62
|
6-3 6-2 6-0 | H2H | ||
R2 |
Thiago Moura Monteiro
Player
Jordan Thompson
60%
(
28 of
47)
1st Serve %
55%
(
32 of
58)
2
Aces
3
1
Double Faults
0
82%
(
23 of
28)
1st Serve Won
56%
(
18 of
32)
58%
(
11 of
19)
2nd Serve Won
38%
(
10 of
26)
31%
(
4 of
13)
Break Points Won
0%
(
0 of
4)
28%
(
13 of
47)
Rtn Points Won
52%
(
30 of
58)
64
Total Points Won
41
|
6-1 6-3 | H2H | ||
R2 |
Pavel Kotov
Player
Jordan Thompson
71%
(
79 of
112)
1st Serve %
64%
(
72 of
113)
0
Aces
6
3
Double Faults
1
68%
(
54 of
79)
1st Serve Won
65%
(
47 of
72)
42%
(
14 of
33)
2nd Serve Won
51%
(
21 of
41)
38%
(
5 of
13)
Break Points Won
36%
(
4 of
11)
39%
(
44 of
112)
Rtn Points Won
40%
(
45 of
113)
113
Total Points Won
112
|
5-7 6-4 7-5 | H2H | ||
R3 |
Casper Ruud
Player
Jordan Thompson
71%
(
32 of
45)
1st Serve %
54%
(
27 of
50)
1
Aces
4
0
Double Faults
1
81%
(
26 of
32)
1st Serve Won
67%
(
18 of
27)
85%
(
11 of
13)
2nd Serve Won
43%
(
10 of
23)
50%
(
3 of
6)
Break Points Won
0%
(
0 of
2)
18%
(
8 of
45)
Rtn Points Won
44%
(
22 of
50)
59
Total Points Won
36
|
6-1 6-4 | H2H | ||
R2 |
Jordan Thompson
Player
Jaume Antoni Munar Clar
56%
(
60 of
107)
1st Serve %
82%
(
86 of
105)
0
Aces
1
1
Double Faults
4
62%
(
37 of
60)
1st Serve Won
66%
(
57 of
86)
55%
(
26 of
47)
2nd Serve Won
42%
(
8 of
19)
30%
(
3 of
10)
Break Points Won
19%
(
3 of
16)
41%
(
44 of
107)
Rtn Points Won
38%
(
40 of
105)
103
Total Points Won
109
|
6-4 2-6 6-4 | H2H | ||
QF |
Frances Tiafoe
Player
Jordan Thompson
60%
(
46 of
77)
1st Serve %
69%
(
50 of
72)
3
Aces
4
1
Double Faults
0
67%
(
31 of
46)
1st Serve Won
64%
(
32 of
50)
68%
(
21 of
31)
2nd Serve Won
73%
(
16 of
22)
29%
(
2 of
7)
Break Points Won
20%
(
1 of
5)
32%
(
25 of
77)
Rtn Points Won
33%
(
24 of
72)
76
Total Points Won
73
|
7-6(8) 6-4 | H2H | ||
R2 |
Jordan Thompson
Player
Aleksandar Kovacevic
63%
(
84 of
133)
1st Serve %
62%
(
67 of
108)
3
Aces
9
3
Double Faults
1
71%
(
60 of
84)
1st Serve Won
79%
(
53 of
67)
51%
(
25 of
49)
2nd Serve Won
46%
(
19 of
41)
33%
(
2 of
6)
Break Points Won
23%
(
3 of
13)
36%
(
48 of
133)
Rtn Points Won
33%
(
36 of
108)
121
Total Points Won
120
|
4-6 7-6(1) 7-6(7) | H2H | ||
R1 |
Jordan Thompson
Player
Yibing Wu
64%
(
49 of
76)
1st Serve %
59%
(
35 of
59)
6
Aces
3
2
Double Faults
3
76%
(
37 of
49)
1st Serve Won
66%
(
23 of
35)
48%
(
13 of
27)
2nd Serve Won
58%
(
14 of
24)
25%
(
2 of
8)
Break Points Won
0%
(
0 of
6)
34%
(
26 of
76)
Rtn Points Won
37%
(
22 of
59)
72
Total Points Won
63
|
6-4 6-4 | H2H | ||
R2 |
Gael Monfils
Player
Jordan Thompson
67%
(
52 of
78)
1st Serve %
56%
(
48 of
86)
8
Aces
3
3
Double Faults
1
81%
(
42 of
52)
1st Serve Won
67%
(
32 of
48)
62%
(
16 of
26)
2nd Serve Won
45%
(
17 of
38)
56%
(
5 of
9)
Break Points Won
50%
(
1 of
2)
26%
(
20 of
78)
Rtn Points Won
43%
(
37 of
86)
95
Total Points Won
69
|
6-7(3) 6-1 6-2 | H2H | ||
R1 |
Juncheng Shang
Player
Jordan Thompson
53%
(
38 of
72)
1st Serve %
52%
(
29 of
56)
1
Aces
4
4
Double Faults
2
63%
(
24 of
38)
1st Serve Won
55%
(
16 of
29)
53%
(
18 of
34)
2nd Serve Won
41%
(
11 of
27)
42%
(
5 of
12)
Break Points Won
33%
(
2 of
6)
42%
(
30 of
72)
Rtn Points Won
52%
(
29 of
56)
71
Total Points Won
57
|
6-2 6-3 | H2H |
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